Our Color Revolution will End in Violence

This is not a political post, yet I suspect some will not see the difference. It is too late to change this, or even convince many what is happening. I hope to convince somebody that this is all very dangerous and places us all in danger. We need to get ready and prepare.

I am not defending Trump. My gosh, he could have handled that entire debate differently, perhaps like Reagan with some smiles and a few “well Mr. Biden’s”. Yet as much as I disdain his approach, I actually have empathy for his anger.

That entire event was just a hot mess. Trump debated two men. All of the questions were just odd. Biden called Trump a racist. As I look across his life before office, and now, I see no evidence of that, and much to indicate he is not a racist. Biden was not challenged on a thing he said, nothing in a real way.

Any honest person that separates themselves from their individual political bias and preferences sees this. It was a shame. I am not excusing Trump for being so difficult. However, I suppose that if last night was essentially my life since the day he became the nominee in 2016, I too would be angry.

If we can just agree on one-point, last night makes no sense. Biden was never asked why he has ‘called in sick’ so many days, never asked hard questions at all about anything. Nothing about his role in Libya, Ukraine, nothing...Why?

Media bias? That is the simple answer. However, if we take this into account with all of the other weird and obvious media deceptions this year does it make sense to just dismiss it so simply?

Many of the things said last night are dangerous and inflammatory speech. The president is a racist, that is said out loud in a  debate and goes unchallenged? Trump is called on to denounce ‘white supremacist’, yet there is zero real proof that such folks are doing any of the violence and burning in America. How does that make sense? How is it safe usage of language? How does it not ensure we are further divided?

Literal proof of illegal activity conducted against Trump has come out in recent days, it was not even mentioned last night. This is simply an absurd level of gaslighting at this point.

Every day I see more proof that we are being subjected to a color revolution attempt. Every day the narrative of division and hate goes unchallenged, it is spoken now as if it were Holy truth delivered on tablets from a mountain. The media is complicit in this, by the resistance media and controlled opposition, both designed to divide, confuse, and control. Every day it is more obvious that we are in the midst of our own color revolution (see an explanation of what a color revolution is).

Fox News is just as compromised as CNN or MSNBC. They are controlled opposition. (see an odd video here) Tucker Carlson may be one of the few exceptions.

Color revolutions, by design, have to create and amplify division. One of the goals is to get people in the street and angry, to use that anger to force a crisis, and to use that crisis to seize political power. It is an extremely dangerous game to play in a place multi-racial, heavily armed nation like the US. In Georgia and Ukraine, there was essentially one ethnicity and one shared religion. Their color revolutions came and went without the violence spreading. In the Middle-east, in nations that have been subjected to color revolutions, things went more poorly. The Sunni/Shiite divide is large, the small Christian minorities were especially vulnerable. We know what has occurred in Libya, Syria, and Egypt.

America has the potential to be far worse. By making this a black versus white conflict, those that have deluded and confused so many have provided perfect and readily identifiable teams. Think of villages in Yugoslavia where Muslims and Christians had lived side by side in peace for generations suddenly turning on one another.

Color revolutions fail as often as they succeed, and ‘success’ is often fleeting at best. Often after failure civil war follows. It is exceedingly possible that whether those that have done this to us, ‘they’, succeed or fail this year in seizing power that they will not be able to then turn off the growing division and hate. An open insurgency seems more plausible and likely each day.

I can only beg you at this point. Wake up and look around. We cannot stop this, we cannot even fully know all that are involved. We should be able to see with open eyes that this is all very odd and dangerous.

I invite you to join me in thinking now about how we prepare in our homes, hearts, and local communities for what is highly likely to come this fall.

America’s Civil War will begin as an Insurgency

We hear the rumblings daily, from mainstream outlets now. There is even a news and opinion aggregator that tracks articles written about America’s next (new/ongoing/upcoming) civil war.

In a very real and profound sense, America is nowhere near civil war. No more than the war in 1861-1865 was an actual civil war. America is in the final stages of a proto-insurgency (an insurrection). We are close to teetering into an open phase I insurgency, but not a civil war, not yet.

Mine is not a mere argument of semantics, this is not word-play. It is entirely possible that America could enter a civil war, but not yet.

The following is the US Government official description of some key indicators or a proto-insurgency moving to a phase one insurgency (Incipient Conflict Stage) (from Guide to the Analysis of Insurgency 2012, USG pp 10-11)

I wrote back in 2018, that America was more divided than at any point since 1850. I even indicated that I believed we crossed the line into a bloody Kansas phase after the shooting of Republican congressmen in 2017. I used ‘civil war’ language and analogies. I stand by the analogies; I do not even believe that the folks currently claiming that we are headed for such an event are wrong entirely. However, some things have changed, the polarization in America has not been even on each side. One side still believes that the system can work, that voting will work. The most radical on the other side no longer believe this.

Seldom does real and honest dialogue occur across the poles at this point. However, last Saturday I watched a fascinating interview between two such people. They talked about issues, philosophy, they were respectful and dialogued. However, in the end, the individual representing the radical elements asked the following; “What do you do when you cannot vote yourself our of your people being murdered by the government on the street?”

You may disagree that this question is based upon reality, but whether you agree or not is irrelevant. A growing minority believes this; they feel this way, this is their reality.

COL Robert Jones designed a methodology in 2012 [link] that further illuminates what gives rise to an insurgency. He outlines four factors:

  • Illegitimacy (a growing minority views the government as illegitimate)
  • Injustice (they see injustice done toward their group)
  • Disrespect (they perceive disrespect from the ‘system’)
  • Hopelessness (they have lost hope in changing the system via the normal rules)

We can see all four factors present in the BLM movement. These same views are also present in ANTIFA and other ideological groups. Many have simply given up on changing the system from within.

Insurgency model

Lastly, in Jones’ model, we have seen an increased societal tolerance for violence. As this tolerance increases and the other indicators of a growing insurgency increase, a nation-state inevitably transitions to an Incipient Conflict Stage.

There are two primary reasons that this will likely not develop initially as a civil war.

  1. The State (in general) is still capable of acting in unison to oppose an open insurrection.
  2. Despite media reports claiming otherwise, there is no real organized counter-radical organization(s).

There are numerous scenarios by which the solidity of the state could be threatened. It would not take a long period of time for a counter-force to rise to face the insurgents. All of this could become civil war-like, but it is not a forgone conclusion.

There is one additional point to consider. It is highly likely that The United States has been undergoing a color revolution, culminating in 2020. (see definition of color revolutions) The very nature of a color revolution is to sew chaos and violence before the crescendo, those that foment these activities attempt to usurp elements of the institution of the state. Our system of federalism makes this easier in some ways that in unitary executive nations. We have already seen signs in 2020 that some jurisdictions have indeed been turned. It is possible that if the color revolution fails, the damage of division and usurpation created to bring it about might have damaged our systems to such a degree that the state is incapable of effectively opposing an insurrection. In that case, regular people will rise to fill the void – a civil war will ensure.  That is a possible scenario.

The election matter of course, if Trump wins the insurrection kicks off much sooner, but make no mistake, even with Biden, the most radical will very quickly lose patience that even the Democratic party cannot dismantle the old fast enough. Violence comes either way.

What is likely, come sometime around November 3rd until it is resolved or put down, is that we move into an Incipient Crises phase of an insurrection. I discuss that in the video below.

Five Planning Factors for Preppers

Five planning factors for preppers (prepping in a hurry for the unprepared). As we approach almost certain increased chaos and violence this fall, we all need to prepare. Before you rush into this process willy-nilly, step back, breathe, strategize, and operationalize your efforts. This begins by taking an inventory of facts and assumptions.

Prepper Planning Factors

 

Below are a couple of items that may assist you in tackling the factors mention in this video.

Planning Considerations Part 2